Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.036702 0.042994 0.049932 0.058132 0.067545 0.077994 0.090456
2025-03-23 0.027959 0.036328 0.046431 0.059461 0.075751 0.095368 0.120695
2025-03-30 0.021416 0.030541 0.042483 0.059109 0.081483 0.110354 0.150194
2025-04-06 0.016380 0.025446 0.038218 0.057263 0.084625 0.122132 0.176956
2025-04-13 0.012929 0.021729 0.034982 0.056008 0.088019 0.134294 0.205406
2025-04-20 0.011261 0.020280 0.034685 0.058789 0.097355 0.155667 0.249121
2025-04-27 0.009810 0.018849 0.034093 0.060888 0.105745 0.176382 0.293937
2025-05-04 0.008037 0.016482 0.031518 0.059265 0.107821 0.187363 0.324642
2025-05-11 0.006781 0.014782 0.029767 0.058692 0.111410 0.200926 0.360581
2025-05-18 0.005613 0.013002 0.027548 0.056886 0.112505 0.210267 0.390199
2025-05-25 0.004721 0.011592 0.025778 0.055603 0.114274 0.220779 0.422597
2025-06-01 0.004129 0.010700 0.024877 0.055838 0.118824 0.236535 0.465505
2025-06-08 0.003432 0.009437 0.023025 0.053949 0.119169 0.244898 0.496354
2025-06-15 0.003175 0.009176 0.023308 0.056580 0.128867 0.271800 0.564200
2025-06-22 0.002798 0.008530 0.022609 0.056971 0.133982 0.290339 0.617801
2025-06-29 0.002373 0.007650 0.021206 0.055555 0.135061 0.300951 0.656859
2025-07-06 0.002033 0.006926 0.020048 0.054521 0.136815 0.313041 0.699857
2025-07-13 0.001917 0.006827 0.020462 0.057336 0.147557 0.344782 0.785583
2025-07-20 0.001779 0.006631 0.020586 0.059443 0.156886 0.374319 0.869079
2025-07-27 0.001520 0.005980 0.019352 0.057882 0.157326 0.384587 0.912566
2025-08-03 0.001332 0.005513 0.018551 0.057336 0.160146 0.400338 0.969125
2025-08-10 0.001134 0.004955 0.017373 0.055575 0.159705 0.408624 1.009871
2025-08-17 0.000978 0.004504 0.016430 0.054322 0.160394 0.419540 1.057333